Invest 98L now has a 70% (medium) chance of developing into a named storm in the Caribbean within the next seven days.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring Invest 98L south of the U.S. Virgin Islands. While its path is uncertain, forecasters say conditions in the Caribbean may support development later this week,

The bottom line is if the 2025 season only had one last shot to threaten land, would it seize it, or just let it slip by?

This disturbance, known as Invest 98L, was a few hundred miles west of the Windward Islands early Monday and was producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms packing winds of 30 to 40 mph. Satellite imagery still shows it lacking a closed center of circulation as it quickly tracks west.