To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

What started as a niche corner of the internet has evolved into a multibillion-dollar industry. In 2025, prediction markets have become a substantial instrument for speculation and the forecasting of ...

Apps that let people wager on current events have experienced explosive growth in Trump's second term. But one of the leading ...

Prediction markets—once a niche for political mavens and crypto enthusiasts—are gaining traction as platforms become regulated entities and gamified tools attract a broader audience. Unlike ...

The rise in prediction markets raises critical questions for the future of democracy. In order to ensure that trust and ...

Farmers and ranchers looking for answers about their future are most likely getting Magic 8 Ball-like answers these days. It’s hazy. Ask again later. Your guess is as good as anyone’s. But one ...