One of the most common ways meteorologists convey the threat of rain is using Probability of Precipitation. Yet, it remains one of the most misunderstood tools in the weather communication tool box.

If the forecast on your phone has a 20% chance of measurable snow, most people just assume that it isn't going to snow because the probability is so low. This means that given an infinite number of ...

Predicting the weather is a tricky thing, but figuring out the forecast can be just as difficult, especially when it comes to chance of rain.

An international research group has developed a novel intraday probabilistic forecast method for surface solar radiation. The new methodology, dubbed SolarSTEPS, is reportedly the first probabilistic ...